Multilevel Theories and
the Ecological Perspective
Health Promotion: Individuals and Communities
Learning objectives for this lesson:
- Explain why single-level theories, framed like equations, cannot account for how influences at different ecological levels act together, and describe how a multilevel theory is framed instead as paths through the layers that can run in more than one direction.
- Describe Bronfenbrenner's Ecological Systems Theory, including the microsystem, mesosystem, exosystem, macrosystem, and chronosystem, the bioecological amendment of the 1990s, and the distinction between proximal and distal processes.
- Explain the two organizing dimensions of Flay's Theory of Triadic Influence, levels of causation and streams of influence, and use the waterfall metaphor to decide where along a causal chain an intervention could act.
- Compare the general multilevel theories with the problem-specific multilevel models developed by the CDC, WHO, and UNICEF, and state the two main critiques of multilevel theory: complexity, and the rationale for placing factors at particular levels.
- Describe the three components common to any program planning process and explain why picking your battles requires a planning framework and an assessment of resources rather than intuition alone.
- Walk through the nine phases of PRECEDE-PROCEED, classifying factors as predisposing, enabling, or reinforcing and distinguishing process, outcome, and impact evaluation.
- Apply the risk and protective factors planning model to an adolescent health problem, sorting factors into its domains, and compare its assumptions and tools with those of PRECEDE-PROCEED.
This course was developed by Dr. Kiffer G. Card, Faculty of Health Sciences, Simon Fraser University, to accompany Edberg, M. Essentials of Health Behavior: Social and Behavioral Theory in Public Health. Jones & Bartlett Learning. This lesson follows Chapters 7 and 8 of the text.
Glossary: Key Terms, People & Concepts
📚 Reference page, available throughout the lesson
This glossary collects the key concepts, people, and ideas you will meet in this lesson. Use it as a reference while you work through the material, or as a review before assessments. Type in the search box to filter entries.
Why Multilevel? Bronfenbrenner's Ecological Systems Theory
⏱ Estimated reading time: 16 minutes
Pushing beyond a single level
Learning objectives for this section
- Explain why theories confined to a single ecological level cannot account for how contributing factors work together.
- Contrast the linear, equation-like form of single-level theory with the path-like form of multilevel theory.
- Describe Bronfenbrenner's five systems (microsystem, mesosystem, exosystem, macrosystem, chronosystem) and sort real influences into them.
- Explain the bioecological amendment and the distinction between proximal and distal processes.
- Trace a multilevel story such as Rodney's through the systems, and relate the Coordinated School Health Program to Bronfenbrenner's levels.
- State the main critique of Ecological Systems Theory: complexity.
This lesson marks a turn in the course. Lessons 3, 4, and 5 reviewed theories that each work mainly at one ecological level: the individual, the social group, the organization, the culture, the political economy. The first half of this lesson asks what happens when we admit that those levels act on each other, and it introduces theories built to describe that interaction. The second half then asks the practical question: once you accept that influences are layered, where do you start?
The Einstein problem
Start with Albert Einstein, who wrote that a theory is more impressive the simpler its premises, the more different kinds of things it relates, and the wider its area of application. Einstein's general theory of relativity revolutionized physics, but it dealt primarily with gravity, one of the fundamental forces understood at the time alongside electromagnetism. He spent years trying to build a unified theory that explained both forces together and did not succeed. The parallel is plain. Each of the theories reviewed so far focuses on behavioural drivers at a single ecological level. Is that how the world works? The honest answer is: not likely.
The levels are a filing system. We divide explanatory theories by level because it helps us see what a theory refers to. At the same time, it is generally understood that factors at one level interact with those at other levels, even though most theory does not account for that. Suppose a theory connects the social dynamics of a family to the attitudes and behaviours of children. What accounts for those family dynamics? Socioeconomic constraints, low community efficacy, racism, gender roles, and more. The question for this lesson is how to account for the way all of those factors work together. Theorists often shy away from the attempt, and there is no wonder in that: it is a very difficult challenge. But if the ecological model is the field's basic understanding of the context within which behaviour occurs, then theory has to take the challenge on. We cannot stay pigeonholed in specific levels.
Equation versus path
What would a multilevel theory look like? Single-level theory is typically framed in somewhat linear terms, almost like an equation: think of the Health Belief Model, where perceptions add up to a likelihood of action, or the Transtheoretical Model, or diffusion of innovations. Multilevel theory is more likely to be framed as a path, or multiple paths, through the ecological layers. Those paths may be complex, like trees or networks of dendrites, and they may run in more than one direction: a behaviour change at the individual level may reverberate back up through the broader levels and change the character of the influence pathway itself. Admittedly, this can get abstract. The diagram below holds the contrast in mind.
The contrast in one picture: single-level theories read like equations; multilevel theories read like paths, trees, or dendrites, and the paths can run back upward.
The granddaddy: Urie Bronfenbrenner
This has to be the first multilevel theory examined, because it contributed so much to the ecological model in public health. Urie Bronfenbrenner (1917 to 2005) was a Russian-born American psychologist who focused on child development and was influenced by theorists who regarded human development as an interactive social process (Bronfenbrenner). He also cofounded the Head Start program in the United States, one of the most notable efforts ever made to address the effect of poverty on children. Canada's Aboriginal Head Start programs, launched federally in the 1990s in urban, northern, and on-reserve communities, carry the same idea into an Indigenous context with components spanning culture and language, education, health promotion, nutrition, social support, and parental involvement: a multilevel program in practice.
Most important for this course, Bronfenbrenner developed Ecological Systems Theory, a multilevel systems approach for understanding child outcomes, including behaviour (Bronfenbrenner, 1977). The basic idea is that child development and behaviour can be understood as outcomes of the interaction between an individual and several levels or layers within the surrounding system. The levels run outward from the child. Click each card for the definition and examples.
Common confusion: mesosystem or exosystem?
Students regularly file a parent's workplace under the mesosystem because it connects to the family. The test is whether the child takes part in the setting. A mesosystem link joins two settings the child is in, such as a meeting between the teacher and the parents. An exosystem setting is one the child never enters, such as the parent's workplace, the social services office, or the health authority, yet whose decisions reach the child. A shift schedule that keeps a parent away at bedtime is exosystem; a phone call between the daycare and the parent is mesosystem.
Click a ring
Start with the individual at the centre and work outward. Each level's examples change with the behaviour you choose.
Adding biology and time
In the early 1990s and beyond, Bronfenbrenner began to amend the original theory to account for the interaction of the multiple systems with the individual's own biological processes, including psychological, cognitive, and genetic elements (Bronfenbrenner and Ceci, 1994). The systemic process came to be understood as one that involves the interaction of individuals, with all the internal biopsychological processes occurring at a particular developmental stage, and the multilayered environment. It was at this point that the temporal element was added, represented by the chronosystem, to reflect the evolving pattern of interaction as individuals develop and engage in different ways over time with the surrounding layers. The amended version is called Bioecological Systems Theory.
Adding the individual's own processes led to a distinction you will meet again in Flay's theory in the next section. Proximal processes occur between an individual and their immediate environment. Distal processes occur within that environment and eventually affect the immediate, proximal interactions. A conversation between a teenager and a parent about vaping is proximal. A provincial decision to restrict flavoured vaping products is distal, and it reaches the teenager through what stores stock, what friends can buy, and what the parent has read in the news.
Rodney in Ourlandia: the process in motion
A story illustrates the theory in motion, with one warning: the behavioural outcome does not arrive until the end. Open the stages in order and watch which systems are acting at each step.
Rodney lives in a fictional country called Ourlandia, within a culture where gender beliefs cast males as independent and autonomous, and females as social and interdependent. When Rodney is little, his parents teach him that if he gets hurt he should not cry out for help but figure it out himself, and he meets the same approach at school. Girls can and do cry out for help, and they get it, without any sense that doing so is improper. The macrosystem is reaching Rodney through the microsystem of family and school.
Ourlandia is a developing country whose economy is shifting from independent farming and lumber toward services, with job growth in tourism and social services. In the past, school attendance was higher for boys, but education beyond high school was not needed to start or inherit a farm or lumber operation; autonomy and independence mattered more. School involvement was lower for girls because school subjects were not viewed as relevant to women's roles. The new jobs emphasize customer service, relationships, empathy, and interaction, and some companies even help fund technical schools to train social workers and tourism staff.
Because the female-gendered characteristics have become more valuable, the interaction between girls and school begins to change. More girls and their families see that finishing school matters, and some graduates go on to technical schools. Boys and young men are increasingly disaffected by what school offers and show little interest in the technical schools or the jobs they lead to. At a stage when the biology of adolescence supports some impulsivity, the bioecological element, boys are also more prone to act out and to be kicked out of school. Add a dwindling number of farming and lumber jobs, in part because of falling world prices in a globalized economy, and the result is changing gender roles and opportunities: some increases for females and, at least in the short term, decreases for males.
Are there behavioural and health outcomes? Maybe. Suppose Ourlandia was already a minor transit point for drug trafficking. With many young men out of work, the aggregation of factors could lead to increased involvement, with health consequences related to violence, substance abuse, and possibly HIV/AIDS. Or suppose the Ourlandia Tourist Industry Association, an exosystem component, decided to address young men's employment and social role by establishing technical school programs in starting tourist businesses and web design. These might appeal to traditionally male-gendered characteristics, keep young men in school, and steer them away from the riskier activities, with better health outcomes. It's all clear now, right?
Notice what the story does. No single fact explains Rodney. Gender beliefs (macrosystem), a changing economy (exosystem over time), family and school practices (microsystem), and adolescent biology all feed into the same outcome, and the outcome that arrives depends on an intervention made at a level Rodney never touches directly.
Case study: A mill town after the mill
Consider a resource town in the northern interior of British Columbia. For decades the sawmill employed most of the men in town, and a grade 12 diploma was optional for a well-paid job on the green chain. When the mill closes, the regional economy tilts toward health care, tourism, and public services, and the local college expands its practical nursing and hospitality programs, where enrolment is mostly young women. Many young men from mill families drift between seasonal jobs, and the health unit notices rising emergency visits among men in their late teens and twenties for injuries and substance-related harms. A school counsellor proposes an anti-drug assembly. An economic development officer proposes a trades pre-apprenticeship stream at the college, recruited through hockey teams and the volunteer fire department.
Sort the elements of this story into Bronfenbrenner's systems. At which level does each of the two proposals act? Using the Ourlandia story as your guide, which proposal is more likely to change the behaviour, and why does the answer depend on the level at which it acts?
Using the theory: the Coordinated School Health Program
Many health promotion interventions are ecological in nature and draw from Bronfenbrenner, which is no surprise, because public health is grounded in the ecological model. A good example is the Coordinated School Health Program (CSHP), an approach to school health with eight components, adopted by the Division of Adolescent and School Health at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) as its general framework and then by the World Health Organization (WHO) in its global promotion of school health. The eight components have traditionally been drawn arrayed around a graphic of children, with no distinctions between components or ecological levels. It is reasonable to argue that this misses the ecological nature and complexity of implementation. Lohrmann proposed a complementary ecological model in which parents (microsystem), schools, and community institutions (mesosystem, exosystem) are organized into levels of influence working outward from the students. The table sorts the eight components in that spirit; note that Lohrmann's model is an attempt to organize the program into levels rather than an exact replica of Bronfenbrenner's.
| CSHP component | What it involves | Level it mostly acts through |
|---|---|---|
| Comprehensive school health education | Curriculum on health topics delivered to students | Microsystem (classroom) |
| Physical education | Structured physical activity and skills | Microsystem (classroom, gym) |
| School health services | Nursing, screening, first aid, referral | Microsystem, linked to exosystem health services |
| School nutrition services | Meals, snacks, food environment | Microsystem, shaped by school board policy (exosystem) |
| Counselling, psychological, and social services | Support for mental health and social problems | Microsystem, linked to mental health agencies (exosystem) |
| Healthy school environment | Facilities, safety, psychosocial climate | Microsystem and school policy |
| School-site health promotion for staff | Employee wellness | Exosystem (adults whose well-being reaches students indirectly) |
| Family and community involvement | Parents, health councils, service clubs, faith communities, businesses | Mesosystem (connections) and exosystem (institutions) |
Canada's version is Comprehensive School Health, promoted since 2005 by the Pan-Canadian Joint Consortium for School Health, a partnership of provincial and territorial health and education ministries. It organizes school health into four interrelated components: the social and physical environment; teaching and learning; healthy school policy; and partnerships and services. The four map readily onto Bronfenbrenner's layers, from classroom teaching in the microsystem to board policy and community partnerships in the exosystem, and the framework's insistence that the components be planned together is the ecological point in a sentence.
Things to think about: complexity
One critique stands out, and it is the biggest critique of all similar theories: complexity. With so many interacting levels and processes, how can you tell where the causal chain leading to a health behaviour lies? Almost as in chaos theory, a small change in one component within one level is likely to cause reverberations through multiple levels, and those reverberations may in turn change the environment at every level with which the individual was interacting in the first place. Two questions follow and shape the rest of the lesson. What kind of research could identify such causal chains? And how could you set up an intervention to create a causal chain that leads to better health? Flay's theory, next, is one attempt to make the chains traceable.
Reflection
Return to the mill town case study. A school counsellor proposes an anti-drug assembly; an economic development officer proposes a trades pre-apprenticeship stream at the college, recruited through hockey teams and the volunteer fire department. Using Bronfenbrenner's systems, (1) name the system at which each proposal acts and one system each proposal leaves untouched; (2) explain, with reference to the Rodney story, why Ecological Systems Theory would lead you to expect the second proposal to reach more young men; and (3) identify one chronosystem factor in the case and say how it changes what the same young man needs at 17 compared with what he needed at 10.
A strong answer places the assembly in the microsystem (school, acting directly on the students present) and notes that it leaves the exosystem, the regional economy and the college's program offerings, untouched, so the conditions that push young men toward risk remain in place after the assembly ends. The trades stream acts in the exosystem (a college and an economic development office the young men do not run) and reaches into the mesosystem by recruiting through hockey teams and the fire department, which connects settings the young men already belong to. In Ourlandia, the Tourist Industry Association's technical school programs mattered because they changed the opportunity structure in a way that fit the male-gendered characteristics the macrosystem had instilled; a lecture would have changed neither the gender beliefs nor the jobs. The same logic applies here: the trades stream offers a role that fits what the young men were raised to value, while the assembly asks them to resist a risk without offering a replacement.
A chronosystem factor is the mill closure itself, or the shift of the local economy toward health care and tourism. At 10, a boy in a mill family needed basic schooling and a working parent; at 17, the same boy needs a credential the town never used to require and a path into an economy that now rewards qualities he was not raised with. The best answers add that the pre-apprenticeship stream is also a bioecological fit, offering physical, hands-on work at a stage when impulsivity runs high, and that the two proposals could be combined rather than chosen between. A complete answer avoids the common error of filing the college and the economic development office in the mesosystem; the young men do not participate in those settings, so they belong in the exosystem.
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Key Takeaways
- The case for multilevel theory is a case about realism: single-level theories read like equations, but contributing factors at one level interact with those at others, so a multilevel theory is framed as paths through the layers that can branch and run back upward.
- Bronfenbrenner's Ecological Systems Theory places the developing person inside nested systems: the microsystem of direct contact, the mesosystem that connects those settings, the exosystem the person never enters but is affected by, the macrosystem of culture and law, and the chronosystem of time.
- The bioecological amendment of the 1990s added the person's own biological, psychological, and genetic processes and introduced the distinction between proximal processes (person and immediate environment) and distal processes (within the environment, eventually reaching the person).
- Rodney's story and the mill town show that the behavioural outcome depends on decisions made at levels the person never touches; the Coordinated School Health Program, redrawn as nested levels, shows the same logic built into a program.
- The biggest critique of the theory, and of every multilevel theory, is complexity: with so many interacting levels, it is hard to say where a causal chain lies, what research could trace it, or how an intervention could build one.
1. A grade 5 student's mother works rotating night shifts at a regional hospital, so the child is often alone at bedtime. Under Bronfenbrenner's Ecological Systems Theory, the hospital's shift-scheduling policy belongs to which system?
2. Single-level theories and multilevel theories differ in their form. Which statement best captures that contrast?
3. In the Rodney story, the economy of Ourlandia shifts over two decades from farming and lumber toward tourism and social services, changing which qualities the job market rewards. Which pair of systems correctly labels this shift?
4. A health promotion team argues that the Coordinated School Health Program's traditional diagram, with eight components arranged around a picture of children, should be redrawn. What is the main reason given in this lesson?
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The Theory of Triadic Influence and Other Multilevel Models
⏱ Estimated reading time: 16 minutes
One waterfall, three streams
Learning objectives for this section
- Explain the problem the Theory of Triadic Influence was built to solve: fragmented, narrowly targeted theory from many disciplines.
- Define its two dimensions, levels of causation and streams of influence, and name the proximal predictor at the end of each stream.
- Use the waterfall metaphor to trace a behaviour upstream and choose a feasible point of intervention.
- Describe the theory's finer elements: placement of existing theories, substreams, feedback loops, related behaviours, and the rule that proximal causes predict while distal causes explain.
- Summarize the Washington State smoking study and two critiques of the theory.
- Describe three problem-specific multilevel models from the CDC, WHO, and UNICEF.
Bronfenbrenner gave us layers. Brian R. Flay and his colleagues set out to give us a map of how influence flows through them. The Theory of Triadic Influence (TTI) is the second general multilevel theory in this lesson and, because it was built by researchers working in applied settings, it comes with a clearer instruction for practitioners: find the stream, follow it upstream, and intervene where you can.
Three friends and a broken car
The TTI came out of a view that the most commonly used theoretical approaches, and the health promotion interventions built on them, address only pieces of the puzzle. Because of that, interventions are often narrowly targeted, and it is difficult to confirm the validity of any one theory. For some health issues the theories in use come from several disciplines, each with its own terminology and assumptions. This fragmentation is a real problem: how can we discuss or address a problem with any consistency when the people working on it are not speaking the same language?
A car that will not start makes the point. You enlist three friends. One insists it is all about temperature, because cars are made of metal and everything has to be at a medium temperature before you can fix anything. The second says it is always the electrical system. The third tells you to sit by the car and feel it, because nothing will be fixed until you share a vibe with it. The chances of getting the car fixed are not good. The TTI is an attempt to schematize the full spectrum of factors and processes involved in health-related behaviour so that there is a common point of reference, even when a given intervention, as most must, addresses only some of them. Like Bronfenbrenner's bioecological model, it holds that factors at multiple levels are linked in continuous, interactive pathways, and that some act in immediate, proximal ways while others act as long-term, distal or underlying causes.
Two dimensions
The model is organized around two basic dimensions (Flay, Snyder, and Petraitis, 2009).
Levels of causation. Contributing factors are sorted by how close they sit to the behaviour: (1) causally proximal or immediate factors, such as intentions and skills; (2) causally distal or predisposing factors, such as family relationships, social capital, and community laws or policies; and (3) underlying or ultimate causes, such as structural poverty, gender roles, and cultural goals and values.
Streams of influence. The factors operate across those causal levels via three streams. Each stream ends in a different proximal predictor of behaviour. Use the tabs to follow each one.
Intrapersonal influences, ending in self-efficacy
The personal stream carries intrapersonal characteristics that contribute to self-efficacy regarding specific behaviours. At the ultimate level, biological and genetic dispositions and personality; at the distal level, sense of self and personal control; at the proximal level, skills, self-determination, and self-efficacy or behavioural control.
Vaping illustration: a fifteen-year-old's impulsivity (ultimate), her sense that she can handle herself (distal), and her confidence that she could turn down a vape at a party without embarrassment (proximal self-efficacy).
Interpersonal and social influences, ending in social normative beliefs
The social stream carries the social situation, context, or microenvironment that contributes to social normative beliefs about specific behaviours. At the ultimate level, the social situation itself; at the distal level, interpersonal bonding, the behaviours and attitudes of others, and motivation to comply; at the proximal level, perceived norms and social normative beliefs.
Vaping illustration: a friend group that hangs out behind the arena after school (ultimate), an older sibling she admires who vapes (distal), and her belief that most people her age vape and expect her to (proximal normative belief).
Cultural-environmental influences, ending in attitudes
The environmental stream carries sociocultural and macroeconomic factors that contribute to attitudes about specific behaviours. At the ultimate level, the cultural environment; at the distal level, interactions with social institutions, information and opportunities, values and evaluations; at the proximal level, knowledge, expectancies, and attitudes toward the behaviour.
Vaping illustration: a market in which nicotine products are legal, marketed, and sold in flavours (ultimate), the price set by excise duties and the Health Canada campaigns she has seen (distal), and her attitude that vaping is harmless fun (proximal).
The factors at the various levels flow within each stream and act through the proximal predictors. Flay and colleagues draw the streams as arrows running from the social context, the cultural environment, and biology and personality, through social normative beliefs, attitudes, and self-efficacy, into decisions and intentions and then behaviour. A later version of the diagram, developed with specific reference to adolescent smoking, adds the causal levels as horizontal bands that the streams cross.
The waterfall
If that is hard to hold in mind, a picture helps. Behaviour at the individual level is like what happens at the bottom of a waterfall: the culmination of a cascade of influences that interact and mingle on their way down through the levels of causation to the point where the water hits the rocks or the pool below. You can look at the immediate determinants of a decision, but these can be traced back up the waterfall to their source. To influence behaviour, your task is to trace the factors back upstream and focus an intervention at a point where it is feasible and where you think it can make a difference in the chain. The grid below lets you practise the tracing for youth vaping.
| Intrapersonal (personal) stream | Interpersonal (social) stream | Cultural-environmental stream | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate / underlying causes | |||
| Distal / predisposing influences | |||
| Proximal / immediate predictors | |||
| The pool | |||
Click a cell
The labels in the cells are the theory's own, taken from the version of its diagram that was drawn for adolescent smoking.
Other elements of the theory
The TTI does more than sort factors. It acknowledges and integrates other social and health behaviour theories by causal level and stream, which is what makes it a common point of reference rather than a rival. The table collects the placements the theory's developers list.
| Causal level | Intrapersonal stream | Interpersonal / social stream | Cultural-environmental stream |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate (underlying cause) | Biological and genetic theories; psychoanalytic theory | Family systems theory; peer-related theories | Class, social disorganization, political-economic, and other broad theories |
| Distal (predisposing) | Theories of self-esteem, personal control, and similar factors | Social cognitive theory; social development theory | Cultural, values, and motivational theory |
| Proximal (immediate) | Social skills, self-efficacy, self-regulation | Social normative beliefs; conformity | Expectancy or attitude patterns |
There is more. Each stream has two substreams: an informative, cognitive, thoughts substream and a control, affective, feelings substream, both flowing from the most distant causes to the causes closest to the behaviour. The interactions are not easy to pin down; interactions between streams can be negative or positive influences. Once a behaviour occurs there is a feedback loop, based on the external and internal reaction to it, that causes new behaviours and new loops. Related behaviours have similar causes: smoking and substance abuse share distal causes almost entirely and differ somewhat in proximal causes, while smoking and skiing, a pair of less related behaviours, have fewer causes in common.
Predict versus explain
The practical logic of the TTI compresses into one sentence: proximal causes predict most behaviour, and distal and ultimate causes explain it. If you want to forecast which students in a class will vape next month, measure their intentions, self-efficacy, normative beliefs, and attitudes. If you want to understand why the rate in that school is twice the rate in another, look upstream to family patterns, the local retail environment, price, and the cultural meaning of nicotine. An intervention can be aimed at either, but a program that changes only proximal factors while the upstream conditions remain in place is working against the current.
All of these levels, paths, and directions pose challenges for anyone collecting and analyzing data, whether to guide the choice of an intervention or to evaluate one said to be based on the TTI. Complex statistical methods that can trace the effect of multiple variables on each other and on behaviour are very likely to be necessary; path analysis and structural equation modelling are the usual candidates. The developers suggest thinking in terms of causal bundles related to specific behaviours, an idea that resembles the syndemic health conditions from Lesson 5, in which issues such as HIV/AIDS, substance abuse, and violence are related by similar causal circumstances.
Using the theory: adolescent smoking in Washington State
Because the TTI was developed by researchers working in an applied context, it has been used in intervention studies, in research on predictors of health risk behaviour, and in program planning. One example is a predictor study of adolescents' transition from initiating smoking to regular smoking, using a large sample from Washington State (Bricker and colleagues, 2009). The team assessed three kinds of factor: (1) risk factors based on an individual's psychological makeup, such as a thrill-seeking tendency, at the ultimate level in the individual stream; (2) psychological risk factors related to the social world, such as a tendency to do what friends do, at the distal level in the individual stream; and (3) the behaviours of others, specifically parent and friend smoking, at the distal level in the social stream. According to the TTI, the more proximal second and third types should influence smoking decisions more than the individual characteristics.
The results were mixed but gave some support. Adolescents with individual psychological risk factors were more likely to move through the transition stages, there was variation in how much the distal factors outweighed them, and the ultimate-level characteristics interacted with the distal factors in predicting progression. That interaction is what the theory expects, and it is also exactly what makes the theory hard to test cleanly.
Case study: Youth vaping and three levels of government
A school district in the Fraser Valley wants to reduce vaping among students in grades 8 to 10. Five proposals are on the table. (A) A classroom program that builds refusal skills and corrects the belief that most students vape. (B) A parent evening and a text-message series for families. (C) A district policy that treats vaping on school property as a health issue with a cessation referral rather than a suspension. (D) A letter supporting provincial restrictions on flavoured vaping products in convenience stores. (E) Support for the federal excise duty on vaping products and the advertising restrictions in the Tobacco and Vaping Products Act. The district can fund A, B, and C itself; D and E are advocacy.
Place each proposal in the TTI grid: which stream does it act through, and at which causal level? Which proposals work on proximal predictors and which on distal or ultimate causes? Following the waterfall metaphor, where is intervention feasible for a school district, and what would it need from other levels of government to change the current rather than swim against it?
Things to think about: two critiques
Critique 1: complexity. As with Ecological Systems Theory, the biggest issue is complexity. Tracing and tracking down the multiple influence pathways and interactions is not easy, and for that reason the theory is not easy to demonstrate. There are so many possible influence chains that an intervention or a research effort faces significant difficulties in trying to investigate them all. Despite the difficulties, approaches like this are important.
Critique 2: where things are placed. It is not always clear what the rationale is for positioning some factors at particular levels, with the causal implications that entails. One example: social competence is positioned at a causal level above social skills, though skills could be argued to be a necessary precursor to competence. This is partly an issue of presentation, and Flay and colleagues acknowledge that their diagrams are simplified and do not always capture the scope of interactions.
Other multilevel models
Beyond the two general theories, there are multilevel frameworks developed with reference to a particular health problem or population. Three are described here, and they belong in the same family as the risk and protective factors model you will meet in Section 4. Open each to see how it organizes the levels.
Originally developed by the CDC to understand the multiple levels of contributing factors for youth violence, this model was adopted by WHO in its World Report on Violence and Health and later applied to intimate partner and sexual violence. Its four domains: individual, biological and personal factors such as age, education, income, substance use, or a history of abuse; relationship, close relationships with peers, partners, and family; community, the settings such as schools, workplaces, and neighbourhoods where social relationships occur, and their characteristics; and societal, the norms and the health, economic, educational, and social policies that create a climate in which violence is encouraged or inhibited and maintain inequalities between groups. The model guides prevention toward building strengths to offset risk factors at each level, and the CDC's view is that interventions are best designed and implemented at multiple levels. The same four-level layout is familiar in Canadian family violence and youth violence prevention work.
A CDC review of research and expert input produced a model of how macroeconomic factors relate to youth violence (Edberg, Yeide, and Rosenfeld, 2010). It has a temporal dimension, long-term versus short-term effects, and holds that macroeconomic factors operate directly, through societal-level domains such as social spending, employment, or income inequality, and indirectly, through conditions affecting youth such as family dysfunction, neighbourhood conditions, concentrated poverty, under-resourced schools, and street markets. The factors run from the top down: macroeconomic; community-level (neighbourhoods, schools, services); situational (family violence, youth gangs, drug market volatility, lack of employment); and individual (perceptions, attitudes, behaviours such as gun carrying). Inequality changes slowly with gradual effects; some factors act only past a threshold that varies by community; unemployment can change rapidly. A key finding was that family-level and school-level interventions, even when successful, were often reduced or minimized by community-level factors, so single-level interventions should be paired with community or broader-level components.
In global health, multilevel models have flowed from the social determinants approach and an emerging interest in well-being. Since the mid-2000s the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF) has paid increasing attention to adolescents, establishing an Adolescent Development and Participation office at its headquarters, and several regions have developed models of resilience: what adolescents need in order to avoid health risk behaviours. The Latin America and Caribbean office's Adolescent Well-Being Framework identifies what to monitor from a positive perspective rather than only negative outcomes such as HIV rates, violence, dropout, substance use, and early pregnancy. Its eight domains: health status, knowledge, and skills; subjective well-being; a supportive environment for identity and equity; a protective environment of legal protections and enforcement; educational opportunity and performance; access to supportive services and relationships; socioeconomic opportunity, actual and perceived; and participation. They rest on a consensus definition agreed in 2009, which covers both the individual's ability to acquire knowledge, skills, values, relationships, and services, and the ability of family, peers, community, and institutions to support those aspects of well-being. Progress is measurable within and across the domains.
Notice what these three share with the general theories and with each other. Each sorts contributing factors into levels that run from the person outward to society, each assumes that the levels interact, and each concludes that action at one level alone is unlikely to hold. That conclusion is the bridge to the second half of this lesson, where the question becomes which level, and which factor, to act on first.
Reflection
Take the five proposals from the Fraser Valley vaping case: (A) refusal skills and norms correction in class, (B) a parent evening and text-message series, (C) a district policy that treats vaping as a health issue with cessation referral, (D) a letter supporting provincial flavour restrictions, and (E) support for the federal excise duty and advertising restrictions. Place each in the Theory of Triadic Influence by stream and causal level. Then apply the rule that proximal causes predict behaviour and distal and ultimate causes explain it: which proposals would you expect to shift next month's vaping rate, which would you expect to shift the rate five years from now, and what does the waterfall metaphor say about running A alone?
A strong answer places (A) at the proximal level in two streams: refusal skills build self-efficacy in the intrapersonal stream, and norms correction targets social normative beliefs in the social stream. (B) sits at the distal level of the social stream, working through interpersonal bonding, the behaviour and attitudes of others, and motivation to comply. (C) sits at the distal level of the cultural-environmental stream, since a district policy is an interaction with a social institution that shapes information, opportunities, and values around the behaviour. (D) and (E) sit at the ultimate level of the cultural-environmental stream: the legal and economic environment in which nicotine products are sold, marketed, priced, and flavoured.
Applying the rule, (A) works on the proximal predictors and is the proposal most likely to move next month's rate, because intentions, self-efficacy, normative beliefs, and attitudes are what predict the immediate decision. (D) and (E), and to a degree (B) and (C), act on the distal and ultimate causes that explain why one school's rate is twice another's, and their effects show up over years as price, availability, and marketing change the cultural environment that feeds every stream. The waterfall says that (A) alone is an intervention at the pool: feasible for a district, and the right place to start, but it treats the water after it has fallen. Unless the district also acts where it can upstream, through its own policy (C) and family outreach (B), and advocates to the province and federal government (D and E), the refusal skills will be working against a current that the upstream levels keep supplying. The best answers note that the district cannot change (D) or (E) itself, which is exactly why the waterfall rule says to intervene where feasible while tracing the chain to its source.
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Key Takeaways
- The Theory of Triadic Influence was built because commonly used theories address pieces of the puzzle in different vocabularies; it schematizes the full spectrum of factors so that there is a common point of reference even when one intervention addresses only some of them.
- Its two dimensions are levels of causation (proximal, distal, ultimate) and streams of influence (intrapersonal, ending in self-efficacy; interpersonal or social, ending in social normative beliefs; cultural-environmental, ending in attitudes), with two substreams, cognitive and affective, in each stream.
- The waterfall metaphor gives the practical instruction: trace the influences back upstream and intervene at a point that is feasible and can make a difference; proximal causes predict most behaviour, and distal and ultimate causes explain it.
- The Washington State smoking study gave mixed but supportive evidence, including interaction between ultimate-level traits and distal factors; the critiques are complexity and the unclear rationale for placing some factors above others, such as social competence above social skills.
- Problem-specific multilevel models from the CDC, WHO, and UNICEF sort factors from the individual outward to society and reach the same conclusion: single-level interventions should be paired with community or broader-level components.
1. A study measures, among grade 10 students, how strongly each believes that most of their friends expect them to vape. In the Theory of Triadic Influence, this construct is the proximal end of which stream?
2. The practical logic of the Theory of Triadic Influence compresses into one sentence about proximal and distal causes. Which is it?
3. In the Washington State smoking study, thrill-seeking was placed at one level, a tendency to do what friends do at another, and parent and friend smoking at a third. Which placement matches the study's design?
4. A CDC review of macroeconomic factors and youth violence found that family-level and school-level interventions, even when they showed some success, were often reduced or minimized by community-level factors. What recommendation followed?
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Doing Something About It: Picking Your Battles and PRECEDE
⏱ Estimated reading time: 18 minutes
Where do you start?
Learning objectives for this section
- Explain why the transition from theory to practice is one of the most difficult things to accomplish in public health.
- Describe what a planning framework combines, and use importance and changeability to pick your battles among candidate factors.
- State the three basic components of any program planning process and explain how they form a feedback loop.
- Explain what the name PRECEDE-PROCEED says about the approach, and why it is a useful framework.
- Walk through the five PRECEDE assessment phases, and classify factors from a case as predisposing, enabling, or reinforcing.
- Name the kinds of data each assessment phase uses and where a Canadian planner would find them.
This section turns from explaining behaviour to changing it. Now the fun begins. Or rather, not so fast. The transition from theory to practice is one of the most difficult things to accomplish, and how to do it well must be one of the most discussed topics in public health journals, meetings, and policymaking agencies. This section covers the first half of that transition: why it is hard, how to choose what to work on, and the assessment phases of the best-known planning framework, PRECEDE-PROCEED.
Why the transition is hard
You know about the complexity of identifying the causes of health behaviour. You have learned individual, social and group, organizational, political-economic, and cultural theories, and, in the previous two sections, theories that try to connect them. Most importantly, you have learned that each theoretical approach is a piece of an interrelated puzzle. The transition to practice means grappling with that complexity and arriving at a specific intervention, program, policy, communication strategy, message, or coordinated approach that could have an effect on the behaviours relevant to a health problem.
The wide range of factors that affect what people do can be pictured as the layers of an onion, and the ecological perspective remains the most useful framework for understanding problems as they exist in the real world. Then comes the constraint. Unless you have unlimited resources and unlimited time, you cannot address every factor you identify with a program component, so you have to pick and choose. For the young women in the sex trade in Thailand, would you tackle the political economy, urbanization, class, and poverty, or individual knowledge and skills? For blues musicians and smoking, social support and networks, or individual awareness? If you must pick, do it with a planning framework in mind. Most frameworks combine three things: an assessment of the problem and the factors behind the risk behaviours; a means of selecting from those factors and using theory to develop program components; and an assessment of the resources available: funds, people, materials, and time.
Picking your battles: importance and changeability
Green and Kreuter, the authors of PRECEDE-PROCEED, give planners a simple discipline for the selecting step. Each candidate factor is rated on two things. Importance: how strongly is it linked to the health problem, and how widespread is it? Changeability: is there evidence that a program can move it within the time and resources available? Plotting the ratings on a two-by-two grid sorts the candidates into four groups: high on both, the program's focus; important but hard to change, which calls for an innovative program with evaluation built in; changeable but unimportant, a low priority except where a visible early win matters politically; and low on both, no program. Try it on the falls case below.
What your ratings imply
The matrix is a discipline for thinking rather than a formula. Two things can override it. The community's own priorities, gathered in the first PRECEDE phase, may put an item the epidemiology rates as minor at the top of the list. And a factor that scores low on changeability for a health unit acting alone may score high once a municipal council, a pharmacy chain, or a provincial ministry joins in, which is the point the multilevel theories in the first half of this lesson were making.
Three components of any planning process
PRECEDE-PROCEED is one of the most well-known approaches for planning, implementing, and evaluating health promotion programs (Green and Kreuter, 1999). Its title says a lot about what it entails: a process of assessment and planning before putting a program in place (PRECEDE), followed by implementation and evaluation of the program (PROCEED). This sequence is more or less characteristic of all planning approaches, which involve three steps.
The three-part process found in every planning model, drawn as a continuous feedback loop.
First, assessment, or diagnosis, of the health problem and its causal and supporting factors. Second, development of an intervention based on the assessment, targeting selected factors and using appropriate theory to guide the components. Third, evaluation, to determine whether the intervention was implemented as planned and whether it actually affected the factors it was meant to affect. This is common sense, but one point deserves stress: the three parts work as a continuous feedback loop. What you assess directs which theories apply, what intervention to undertake, and what variables to evaluate, while the way the program works or fails in the real world feeds back into the assessment and modifies the program in turn.
Why PRECEDE-PROCEED
Among the many planning frameworks, PRECEDE-PROCEED is useful in part because it is so comprehensive. It is designed to work within an ecological framework and to help guide the selection of factors to target, and it is oriented toward the community or local level, where the factors behind a health problem are easiest to identify and where, on a reasonable assumption, resources are best organized. Green and Kreuter put the orientation in a sentence: health behaviour "is seen increasingly not as isolated acts under the autonomous control of the individual, but rather as socially conditioned, culturally embedded, economically constrained patterns of living."
Lifestyle, as Green and Kreuter define it
Green and Kreuter's definition of lifestyle parallels the view this course has taken since Lesson 1, that health behaviour is not really a distinct domain from behaviour in general. Lifestyle is "a complex of related practices and behavioral patterns in a person or group, maintained with some consistency over time. It includes conscious health-directed behavior as well as unconscious health-related behavior and practices pursued for non-health purposes but with health consequences or risks." Sam's toothbrushing from Lesson 1 fits every clause.
What the letters stand for
Read the name as before and after, which is the useful meaning. For the record, PRECEDE is an acronym for Predisposing, Reinforcing, and Enabling Constructs in Educational and Environmental Diagnosis and Evaluation, and PROCEED for Policy, Regulatory, and Organizational Constructs in Educational and Environmental Development. The three constructs in the first acronym are the heart of phase 4 below.
The PRECEDE phases: five assessments
The framework runs from the broadest assessment of the problem to the more targeted and specific, then to the administrative and community resources for the program, then to implementation and evaluation. We will follow a hypothetical rust-belt community, North Hill County, through the phases. Each item below gives a description of the phase, the North Hill County illustration, and a Canadian parallel: a health unit in a small British Columbia interior city, call it Cedar Valley, working on falls among adults over 75, the leading cause of injury-related hospitalization among older adults in Canada.
What it is. The broadest assessment, and one you will not always have the luxury of doing. It asks how the health problem relates to what else is happening in the community, and at what problems the community should direct its resources. In reality you will rarely complete it in full, because the health problem is usually already defined by federal, provincial, local, or foundation funders: you respond to an agency's priorities, or look for an agency that funds the problem you consider important.
North Hill County. Over 20 years the county has suffered the decline typical of rust-belt communities: the industries that fuelled the economy have gone, leaving high unemployment and few resources. It has high rates of alcohol abuse and comorbid conditions such as liver disease and drunk-driving crashes. The social assessment asks whether the alcohol abuse is related to unemployment, to a lack of services, or to young people who have little to do and see little future. You may find the alcohol problem is inseparable from the larger situation, which shapes what kind of program can work.
Cedar Valley. An aging population on fixed incomes, long winters, and a seniors' centre whose members say what worries them most is losing independence: that, and not injury statistics, is the language the community uses.
What it is. More specific, and often where planning actually begins: the nature and extent of the problem, who is affected, and the trends, which narrows the target in both conditions and populations before decisions about theory. For example, if local data showed high rates of smoking-related cancers among women and of respiratory problems among young children, you would have three populations to consider: women, especially women who smoke; mothers who smoke and expose their children; and children in smoking households.
Cedar Valley. Hospital and emergency department data show the rate and trend of fall-related admissions among residents over 75; death registrations show fall-related deaths. The target narrows to community-dwelling adults over 75, particularly those living alone.
What it is. Knowing what and whom you will target does not tell you how. This phase identifies risk factors of two kinds. Behavioural risk factors are internal or related to persons: they are what people do. Environmental risk factors are external to persons: conditions or situations around them, such as a factory upstream polluting the drinking water. These data are less regularly collected than epidemiological data, but sources exist: national behavioural surveys such as the CDC's Behavioral Risk Factor Survey and Monitoring the Future in the United States, WHO and United Nations data on global problems, and local surveys and occupational, environmental, and housing agencies.
North Hill County. Alcohol use is the behavioural risk factor behind liver disease and drunk-driving crashes; smoking is the behavioural risk factor behind cancer in women and respiratory problems in children. The county's roads may be an environmental risk factor if they are narrow, have poor visibility, or are not well lit.
Cedar Valley. Behavioural: inactivity, several sedating medications, unsafe footwear, reluctance to use a walker. Environmental: icy sidewalks, poor street lighting, homes with loose rugs, no grab bars, and steep stairs. Canadian counterparts of the American surveys include the Canadian Community Health Survey from Statistics Canada and provincial health authority surveys.
What it is. Go back one more causal level to the factors that contribute to the risks: attitudes, decision-making, social and cultural influences, and to a degree broader social and economic factors. This is where the theories in this course come in. Green and Kreuter sort the findings three ways. Predisposing factors: a population's knowledge, attitudes, beliefs, values, perceptions, and genetic predispositions. Enabling factors: the skills, resources, and barriers that help or hinder the desired behaviour. Reinforcing factors: the rewards received or available when people adopt a behaviour, healthy or unhealthy, such as reduced insurance rates for safe driving. Data are scarcer still, and more than for any other phase you may have to collect them yourself.
North Hill County. With few local jobs, young people either leave or carve out a social role where they are, and one way to do that is to drink a lot and do crazy things that are then talked about and glorified. This is a social act, because a group legitimizes the reputation. Those attitudes are predisposing factors. Easy availability of alcohol at bars unconcerned about driving, and the lack of programs and public information, are enabling factors. Preferential hiring of people with clean driving records would be a reinforcing factor for reducing abuse. Of course, it could just be about boredom, and even that would be useful to know.
Cedar Valley. Predisposing: the belief that falls are a normal part of aging, and pride that resists a walker. Enabling: no affordable strength and balance class, no pharmacist medication review, a long waiting list for home assessments. Reinforcing: adult children who praise a parent for staying active, and a doctor who asks about falls at every visit.
What it is. By now you have a connected picture, the beginnings of a logic model tying individual, social, environmental, and behavioural factors to the health conditions you want to change. Phase 5 is more practical: after the brilliant design, you still have to implement it in an actual community, so you take stock of the organizations, committees, task forces, and local politics, the barriers and assets, and the staff, equipment, facilities, and funding you need. The relevant theories concern implementing policies, working with organizations and community structures, funding, and public involvement.
North Hill County. Bars are desperate for business. When the county council tries to pass a law holding bars liable for injuries from drinking and driving, the bar and restaurant association defeats it: a political barrier. The planners then convince local car dealers to lower interest rates on car payments for drivers with a DUI-free record and for documented designated drivers. The dealers become a community resource, because they believe it will help their business.
Cedar Valley. Assets: an active seniors' centre, a pharmacy willing to do medication reviews, an empty recreation hall on weekday mornings, and a volunteer fire department that already does home visits. Barrier: the council has just cut the snow-clearing budget, and the health unit has no authority over sidewalks. The council becomes the first advocacy target; the fire department's visits become the vehicle for home hazard checks.
Five terms for the epidemiological assessment
Phase 2 relies on a small vocabulary that every planner needs. Click each card.
The five assessments at a glance
The table below adds two things the walk-through above does not carry for each phase: where the information comes from, and what it tells you.
| Phase | Sources of information | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Social assessment | Social indicators: employment, health services, education, crime, housing, parks and recreation | The interplay between health and other factors, potential quality-of-life outcomes, and the importance the community places on the issue |
| 2. Epidemiological assessment | Local surveillance data from public health and other sources such as schools, emergency rooms, and police | The nature and extent of the problem, patterns and trends, and who is affected |
| 3. Behavioural and environmental assessment | Local surveys, focus groups, schools, community groups, unions; environmental, occupational, and public health agencies | Behaviours and environmental conditions you may need to target |
| 4. Educational and ecological assessment | Local surveys, focus groups, research institutions, NGOs, schools, work-related groups; data you collect yourself | The close-in factors, attitudes, norms, and support systems, that you will often need to address first |
| 5. Administrative and policy assessment | Key community leaders, focus groups, surveys of nonprofits, colleges, and universities | The practical details of putting a program into action |
Case study: Cedar Valley chooses its components
The Cedar Valley health unit has finished its five assessments and drafted four components: (1) a free twice-weekly strength and balance class at the recreation hall; (2) pharmacist medication reviews through the community pharmacy; (3) home hazard checks and grab bar installation during volunteer fire department visits; and (4) a presentation to municipal council, backed by the seniors' centre, asking for restored sidewalk snow clearing on the routes to the pharmacy, the grocery store, and the centre. A regional manager questions whether the fourth component belongs in a health unit program at all.
For each component, name the phase 3 risk factor it targets (behavioural or environmental) and the phase 4 factor type (predisposing, enabling, or reinforcing) it works through. Using the importance and changeability matrix, make the case for keeping or dropping the fourth component, and say which PRECEDE phase produced the evidence you are relying on.
By the end of phase 5 the planner has moved from a health problem to a set of named factors, a rationale for choosing among them, the theories that speak to each, and an inventory of what the community can bring. The next section picks up at the moment the program goes live, and asks how you would ever know whether it worked.
Reflection
The Cedar Valley health unit has four program components: a free strength and balance class, pharmacist medication reviews, home hazard checks with grab bar installation during fire department visits, and a council presentation asking for restored sidewalk snow clearing. A regional manager doubts that the fourth belongs in a health unit program. For each component, name the phase 3 risk factor it targets (behavioural or environmental) and the phase 4 factor type (predisposing, enabling, or reinforcing) it works through. Then use importance and changeability to argue for keeping or dropping the snow-clearing component, and say which PRECEDE phase produced the evidence your argument rests on.
A strong answer classifies each component in both phases. The strength and balance class targets the behavioural risk factor of physical inactivity and works mainly through an enabling factor, the absence of an affordable class in town, while a free, social class also becomes reinforcing once neighbours attend together. The medication review targets the behavioural risk factor of using several sedating medications and is enabling, since no review was available before; it may also shift a predisposing belief that a long medication list is normal. The home hazard check targets environmental risk factors inside the home (loose rugs, poor lighting, no grab bars) and is enabling, because the barrier was a waiting list and the cost of installation. The council presentation targets an environmental risk factor, icy sidewalks, and works through an enabling factor at the municipal level: a budget decision that determines whether the routes to the pharmacy, the grocery store, and the seniors' centre are walkable in winter.
On the matrix, icy sidewalks rate high on importance for a town with long winters and a population over 75 living alone, and the phase 2 and phase 3 data (fall-related admissions, and the seasonal and environmental pattern behind them) support that rating. Changeability is low for the health unit acting alone, which is the manager's point, but the phase 5 administrative and policy assessment found an asset that raises it: the seniors' centre, which can bring its members to council. That moves the component from the innovate-and-evaluate quadrant toward program focus. The argument for keeping it is that a program which teaches balance and fixes homes while the route to the pharmacy stays icy leaves the environment pushing against the behaviour, which is the lesson of the multilevel theories in the first half of this module. The evidence rests on phase 3 (the environmental risk factor) and phase 5 (the political barrier and the community asset that answers it). A complete answer notes that the component should carry a process measure, such as whether the presentation was made and the routes were cleared, so that its contribution can be evaluated.
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Key Takeaways
- The move from theory to practice is one of the hardest steps in public health because every theory is a piece of an interrelated puzzle and no program can address every factor an ecological assessment turns up; you must pick and choose with a planning framework in mind.
- Green and Kreuter's importance and changeability ratings sort candidate factors into four groups: program focus, innovate and evaluate, low priority, and no program; partners found in the administrative and policy assessment can raise a factor's changeability.
- Every planning model shares three components, assessment, intervention, and evaluation, joined in a continuous feedback loop in which what you assess directs the theory, the intervention, and the measures, and how the program performs feeds back into the assessment.
- PRECEDE-PROCEED's five assessment phases run from the broadest social assessment through the epidemiological, behavioural and environmental, and educational and ecological assessments to the practical administrative and policy assessment; phase 4's predisposing, enabling, and reinforcing factors are where theory enters.
- Data grow scarcer as the phases go deeper: surveillance systems hold morbidity and mortality data, behavioural surveys hold risk factor data, but the attitudes and norms of phase 4 you may have to collect yourself.
1. A planner in North Hill County learns that bars sell alcohol with little concern about whether customers will drive, and that there are no public information programs about drunk driving. In the phase 4 educational and ecological assessment, how would Green and Kreuter classify these findings?
2. In reality, most planners will not complete the phase 1 social assessment in its full form. What is the reason?
3. A health unit reports that the number of new fall-related hospital admissions among residents over 75 rose this year while the total number of residents currently living with a fall-related disability stayed the same. In the vocabulary of the phase 2 epidemiological assessment, what changed?
4. Using Green and Kreuter's importance and changeability ratings, a factor is rated highly important to the health problem but, on current evidence, hard to change. Which response fits that quadrant?
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PROCEED and the Risk and Protective Factors Model
⏱ Estimated reading time: 16 minutes
Proceed: implement, evaluate, and a second way to plan
Learning objectives for this section
- Describe phase 6 of PRECEDE-PROCEED and explain when adopting an evidence-based program is preferable to designing your own.
- Give the reasons, external and internal, for evaluating a health promotion program.
- Distinguish process, outcome, and impact evaluation (phases 7, 8, and 9) by what each measures and over what time frame, and apply them to a Canadian program.
- Explain the logic of the risk and protective factors planning model and its origins in the work of Hawkins and Catalano.
- Sort factors into the model's risk and protective domains and explain the role of resilience.
- Compare the risk and protective factors model with PRECEDE-PROCEED.
This section finishes PRECEDE-PROCEED with the phases that follow the assessments, and then introduces a second planning model built for a narrower purpose: youth risk behaviour. The two models look different on the page, and the closing point of the section is that they share the same spine.
Phase 6: Implementation
This phase does not need a long explanation. It means putting your program in place after using the assessment process to design it; that is what is meant by proceed. One reminder matters. In today's program environment there is often a requirement to use evidence-based or model programs that are responsive to the community situation. Once you have made an assessment, there may be programs that already show consistent evidence of effectiveness with a similar population and situation, and it is sometimes advisable to use one instead of developing your own; many agencies maintain registries to help. The assessment still comes first: a model program adopted without one is the cookie-cutter mistake from Lesson 1.
Phases 7, 8, and 9: Evaluation
The last three phases involve evaluation: the data you collect about whether your program is working, in the sense of changing the health problem it is meant to affect. There are two families of reasons to evaluate. The first is external accountability. Dollars are scarce, and programs must show evidence of success. If your program works but you have no data to show it, funding may not continue; other communities will lack the data to argue for adopting it; and an innovative approach may not get the attention it deserves. The second is internal: evaluation tells you whether the program is working, in what ways, and why, so that you can adjust it. The three types correspond to phases 7, 8, and 9. The tabs define each and apply it to a Canadian program, British Columbia's Take Home Naloxone program, run through the BC Centre for Disease Control since 2012, which trains people likely to witness an opioid overdose and gives them a kit to reverse it.
Process evaluation: did you do what you said you would do?
An assessment of program implementation. If you said you would develop brochures and flyers, did you? Did you distribute them, to how many people, and to the people the program is trying to reach? If you set up a website, how many hits does it receive? The data are primarily tracking records of what you did, and they also help in assessing how much of the program led to the result.
Take Home Naloxone: the number of sites registered to distribute kits, people trained, and kits shipped, and whether the sites are in the settings, such as emergency departments, harm reduction sites, and corrections, where overdoses are most likely to be witnessed.
Outcome evaluation: short-term effects
An assessment of the short-term effects, the kinds that might happen in a year or two, maybe three. Every intervention's ultimate goal is to eliminate a condition and improve quality of life, but change of that magnitude does not happen quickly, so outcomes usually refer to intermediate changes expected to contribute to it: changes in knowledge, in policies and practices, in community awareness and systems, and in the way people use services, corresponding to what you identified in phases 3 and 4. You measure these factors before the intervention and follow up with the same measures.
Take Home Naloxone: whether trained participants can recognize an overdose and use the kit, the reversals reported when kits are replaced, and policy changes such as Health Canada's decision in 2016 to make naloxone available without a prescription.
Impact evaluation: long-term effects
An assessment of the long-term effects, the kinds that might happen in several years or more: changes in the health condition itself, in quality-of-life indicators, in health behaviour if significant, in utilization patterns, or in substantial policy or system change, the factors usually identified in phase 1 or 2 and sometimes 3. Many programs are not funded long enough to track this, so it may require a separate longitudinal study that follows a community or group for many years with the same measures.
Take Home Naloxone: the effect on overdose deaths in the province over years. Because the program operates inside an evolving drug supply and alongside other measures, isolating its impact requires modelling rather than simple before-and-after counts: the complexity critique from the first half of this lesson arriving in the evaluation phase.
Which one is outcome and which one is impact?
The labels outcome evaluation and impact evaluation are not used consistently across the field. This lesson follows the usage in which outcome is the short-term measure and impact the long-term one. Green and Kreuter's own PRECEDE-PROCEED diagrams use the labels the other way around, with impact for the near-term changes in predisposing, enabling, reinforcing, behavioural, and environmental factors and outcome for the eventual change in health and quality of life. Whenever you read an evaluation report, check how it defines the two words before you compare it with anything else. The idea underneath, short-term versus long-term, is stable even when the labels are not.
Two other general types of evaluation are formative evaluation, used to develop a program, and summative evaluation, used to draw broad or in-depth conclusions from the evaluation data. Some evaluations also try to analyze the costs and benefits of a program. Lesson 11 returns to evaluation in depth.
The risk and protective factors planning model
The risk and protective factors model is the second example of a planning approach in this lesson. It is widely used by United States federal agencies, including SAMHSA, the CDC, and the Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention, to plan and fund programs on youth risk behaviour: HIV/AIDS risk, early sexual activity, adolescent pregnancy, tobacco, alcohol, and drug use, and violence. The same three processes remain, but the key difference is that it is a theory-based planning model focused on certain health risk behaviours as the targets of change, built from a synthesis of research about factors correlated with those behaviours. Examples of those risk factors: child development problems, parent-child interaction, and family conflict and abuse; community poverty; previous victimization by violence or regular witnessing of it; the absence of a positive adult role model; and differences in personality traits, affective states, and behavioural skills. Most research points to multiple causes, cumulative exposure, or interactions among individual, family, and community risk factors over development: a web of risk factors.
Hawkins, Catalano, and colleagues synthesized this research into a widely used approach that functions as a planning tool (Hawkins, Catalano, and Miller, 1992). The model lays out an algorithm of factors, or forces, that over the youth development process increase or decrease the likelihood that a given youth will engage in problem behaviours: violence, delinquency, substance abuse, school dropout, HIV/AIDS risk behaviour, and others. Risk factors increase the likelihood; protective factors reduce it. It helps to think of the process as a box with inputs and outputs.
Youth development as a box: put in many risk factors and few protective factors and you are highly likely to get health risk behaviour as an output; put in few risks and many protective factors and you are less likely to.
The domains
Under the Hawkins and Catalano model, risk factors are organized into domains, and protective factors, which are not as well specified, into a smaller set of similar domains. The table lists both sets with a description of what each domain covers.
| Type | Domain | What it covers |
|---|---|---|
| Risk | Individual | Biological and psychological dispositions, attitudes, values, knowledge, skills, problem behaviours |
| Risk | Peer | Norms, activities, attachment to specific peer groups |
| Risk | Family | Family function, management, bonding, abuse and violence |
| Risk | School | Bonding to school, school climate, policy, performance |
| Risk | Community | Bonding, norms, resources, poverty level, crime, awareness and mobilization |
| Risk | Society / environment (sometimes) | Norms, policy, sanctions |
| Protective | Individual | Gender, intelligence, temperament |
| Protective | Social bonding | Attachment and commitment to positive, prosocial individuals and groups |
| Protective | Healthy beliefs and clear standards | In families, schools, and communities |
Not every youth exposed to risk factors becomes involved in risk behaviour. Many do not, and they are said to have protective factors that counter or buffer the risks. Programs and research have focused on these under the general term resilience, and the more recent trend has been toward programs that support resilience or build protective factors. The complex, fluid interaction between an individual and the risk and protective factors in one or more domains has been described as a web of influence, an idea that traces back to Bronfenbrenner's ecological perspective: the thread that ties the planning half of this lesson back to the theory half.
Individual (risk)
Peer
Family
School
Community
Society / environment
Individual (protective)
Social bonding
Healthy beliefs and clear standards
Using the model: three phases
How is the approach used to plan, implement, and evaluate programs for adolescents and young adults? Thinking about it as we did for PRECEDE-PROCEED, there are three phases. We will follow a hypothetical community that wants to address adolescent violence and alcohol and drug use.
An agency, committee, or other organization collects information to identify which risk and protective factors are relevant to the violence and drug abuse in the community. In our example the agency finds: in the individual domain, a high prevalence of attitudes that treat violence as a way to gain a valued reputation among peers; in the community domain, easy access to weapons and a high crime rate; in the school domain, disorganized enforcement of no-violence policies; and a lack of opportunities for positive youth involvement. It also finds one protective factor: a relatively large number of volunteer and civic organizations interested in helping youth. The information comes from surveys such as the CDC Youth Risk Behavior Survey, police data, and the schools; a Canadian planner would draw on the Canadian Student Tobacco, Alcohol and Drugs Survey, provincial student health surveys, police-reported crime data, and school district records. The theories that speak to the findings concern social norms and attitudes about violence, access to weapons, adherence to school policy, and the mobilization of community resources.
Based on the assessment, the agency can either design a program that targets the identified risk factors or adopt a model, evidence-based program already developed to target just those factors; for this planning model there is a well-developed system for identifying such programs. The program may have several components matched to the findings: a media campaign at schools and in the community focused on attitudes about violence and reputation; advocacy for strict enforcement of local weapons laws; a school component that draws on community volunteers to increase the adult, supervisory presence; and a mobilization campaign to help community organizations increase opportunities for youth participation outside school hours. Notice how the protective factor, the willing civic organizations, becomes the engine of the last two components. Which theories are useful for each? Think of social norms and communications theory for the campaign, policy and organizational change theory for the advocacy, and social bonding and social development theory for the volunteer and participation components.
Evaluation involves the same three types as PRECEDE-PROCEED, but in this model many surveys and evaluation tools already exist to determine whether a program affected the identified risk factors and supported the protective factors. Process evaluation tracks program activities. Outcome, short-term, evaluation assesses whether attitudes about violence, enforcement of weapons laws, school violence policies, and opportunities for positive youth involvement changed. Impact, long-term, evaluation, if you are able to do one, asks whether levels of violence among adolescents actually changed.
Case study: A prairie city applies for federal crime prevention funding
Public Safety Canada's National Crime Prevention Strategy funds community projects for youth at risk and asks applicants to identify the risk and protective factors their project addresses. A coalition in a mid-sized prairie city, led by a youth agency, a school division, and an urban Indigenous Friendship Centre, is preparing an application to reduce youth violence in two neighbourhoods. Its assessment found: attitudes that respect is earned through fighting; weak attachment to school among students who have changed schools often; a shortage of supervised evening activities; and family instability linked to housing insecurity. It also found two protective factors: a Friendship Centre with cultural programming many youth already attend, and former gang members willing to mentor. Four components are under consideration: an evidence-based school program on conflict resolution; mentoring through the Friendship Centre; expanded evening drop-in hours at two community centres; and advocacy to the city for a housing stabilization fund for families with school-aged children.
Assign each finding to a risk or protective domain, and match each proposed component to the factor it targets. Which component builds on a protective factor rather than reducing a risk? Then design the evaluation: name one process measure, one outcome measure, and one impact measure, and say which of the three the coalition is least likely to be funded long enough to collect.
Two models, one spine
These two models are not the only planning models for health promotion programs. They were chosen to give a sense of what planning such programs involves and how it opens the door to selecting and applying theory. The key is the assessment, implementation, evaluation process, which helps ensure that a program is tailored to the real-life situation of a community. The comparison below answers the last question of the lesson: how are the two models similar, and how do they differ?
| Feature | PRECEDE-PROCEED | Risk and protective factors model |
|---|---|---|
| Core process | Assessment, implementation, evaluation, in nine phases | Assessment, implementation, evaluation, in three phases |
| Scope | Any health problem, any population; comprehensive and generic | Youth and adolescent health risk behaviours specifically |
| Relation to theory | A framework within which you select the theories that fit your assessment | Itself theory-based: built from a synthesis of research on risk and protective factors |
| Starting point | Social and epidemiological assessment of the community's problems and priorities | Identification of which known risk and protective factors are present in the community |
| Where the factors live | Predisposing, enabling, and reinforcing factors behind behavioural and environmental risks | Individual, peer, family, school, community, and societal domains, plus protective domains |
| Ready-made tools | Few; you assemble the data and instruments | Registries of model programs and pre-built surveys and evaluation instruments |
| Ecological roots | Green and Kreuter's community ecological orientation | Bronfenbrenner's web of influence, by way of Hawkins and Catalano |
Read the table one more time with the multilevel theories in mind. Both models ask you to look at more than one level, both admit that you cannot act on every level at once, and both make you write down why you chose the factors you chose. That written rationale is what turns a multilevel theory from an abstraction into a plan.
Reflection
Return to the prairie city case. The coalition's assessment found: attitudes that respect is earned through fighting; weak attachment to school among students who have changed schools often; a shortage of supervised evening activities; family instability linked to housing insecurity; a Friendship Centre with cultural programming many youth already attend; and former gang members willing to mentor. Its proposed components are a school conflict-resolution program, Friendship Centre mentoring, expanded evening drop-in hours, and advocacy for a municipal housing stabilization fund. Assign each finding to a risk or protective domain of the Hawkins and Catalano model, match each component to the factor it addresses, identify the component that builds on a protective factor, and design one process, one outcome, and one impact measure, noting which is least likely to be funded long enough to collect.
A strong answer sorts the findings as follows. Attitudes that respect is earned through fighting: individual risk domain (attitudes and values). Weak attachment to school after repeated moves: school risk domain (bonding to school). A shortage of supervised evening activities: community risk domain (resources and opportunities for positive youth involvement). Family instability linked to housing insecurity: family risk domain (family function and management), with a root in the community domain's poverty level. The Friendship Centre's cultural programming and the willing mentors are protective factors in the social bonding domain: attachment and commitment to positive, prosocial individuals and groups, and, in the case of cultural programming, healthy beliefs and clear standards carried by the community. The components match up in order: the conflict-resolution program addresses the individual attitudes; mentoring addresses weak bonding by supplying a prosocial adult; the drop-in hours address the community shortage of supervised activities; and the housing advocacy addresses family instability at its source. The mentoring component is the one that builds on a protective factor rather than reducing a risk, which is the direction recent programs have shifted toward, and it is the component most likely to survive because it uses assets the community already has.
For evaluation, a process measure is the number of mentoring matches made and sustained for six months, or the number of drop-in evenings delivered and youth attending; an outcome measure is a change, on the pre-built youth surveys the model provides, in attitudes about fighting and in reported attachment to school and to a caring adult, within one to two years; an impact measure is the rate of police-reported violent incidents involving youth in the two neighbourhoods over five years or more. The impact measure is the one the coalition is least likely to be funded long enough to collect, which is the standing warning that many programs end before long-term change can be tracked. The best answers add that the housing component is a community-level pairing of the kind the CDC macroeconomic review recommended, without which the school and mentoring components risk being undercut.
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Key Takeaways
- Phase 6, implementation, means putting the program in place after the assessment has designed it; where an evidence-based program already fits the population and situation, adopting it is sometimes wiser than building your own, but only after the assessment.
- Evaluation serves external accountability (funding, adoption by other communities, recognition of innovation) and internal learning (whether, how, and why the program works); process asks whether you did what you said, outcome measures short-term change in the factors from phases 3 and 4, and impact measures long-term change in the health condition, usually through a longitudinal study.
- The risk and protective factors model, synthesized by Hawkins and Catalano, is a theory-based planning model for youth risk behaviour: risk factors in the individual, peer, family, school, community, and societal domains raise the likelihood of problem behaviour, and protective factors (individual traits, social bonding, healthy beliefs and clear standards) buffer it.
- Not every youth exposed to risk engages in risk behaviour; resilience research has shifted programs toward building protective factors, and the model's web of influence traces back to Bronfenbrenner.
- The two planning models differ in scope, in their relation to theory, and in the tools they supply, but both rest on the same spine of assessment, implementation, and evaluation, which is what ties a program to the real-life situation of a community.
1. Two years into a community naloxone program, evaluators report that trained participants can correctly recognize an overdose, that reported reversals have increased, and that a provincial policy now allows kits to be distributed through pharmacies. In the PRECEDE-PROCEED terms used in this lesson, which evaluation phase do these findings belong to?
2. A youth agency's assessment finds that most adolescents in a neighbourhood belong to at least one sports team or cultural group led by adults who state clear expectations about behaviour. In the Hawkins and Catalano model, this finding is best described as which of the following?
3. This lesson gives three consequences of running a program that works without collecting data to show it. Which of the following is NOT one of them?
4. Which statement correctly describes a key difference between the risk and protective factors model and PRECEDE-PROCEED, as this lesson presents them?
✦ Pass the knowledge check with 100% and complete the reflection to continue
Final Review & Assessment
⏱ Estimated time: 25 minutes
Bringing It All Together
This lesson joined two halves that belong together. The first half argued that the theories reviewed so far, each working at one ecological level, cannot account for the way factors at different levels act on each other, and it offered theories built for that purpose. Bronfenbrenner's Ecological Systems Theory nests the developing person inside a microsystem of direct contact, a mesosystem that connects those settings, an exosystem the person never enters but is shaped by, a macrosystem of culture and law, and a chronosystem of time; its bioecological amendment added the person's own biology and the distinction between proximal and distal processes. Flay's Theory of Triadic Influence turned the layers into a map, sorting every factor by level of causation (ultimate, distal, proximal) and stream of influence (intrapersonal, social, cultural-environmental), and gave practitioners the waterfall: trace the influences upstream and intervene where it is feasible, remembering that proximal causes predict behaviour while distal and ultimate causes explain it. Problem-specific models from the CDC, WHO, and UNICEF reached the same conclusion from different directions, and every one of them carried the same critique: complexity.
The second half accepted the complexity and asked the practical question. You cannot address every factor, so you pick your battles, and it is best to do that with a planning framework. Every framework shares three components, assessment, intervention, and evaluation, linked in a feedback loop. PRECEDE-PROCEED works through them in nine phases: five assessments that narrow from the community's quality of life to the predisposing, enabling, and reinforcing factors behind behavioural and environmental risks and then to the resources and politics of implementation; implementation itself; and three evaluations, process, outcome, and impact. The risk and protective factors model, synthesized by Hawkins and Catalano for youth risk behaviour, runs the same three processes with a theory built in, sorting factors into risk domains and protective domains and treating problem behaviour as the output of a box whose inputs can be changed.
The thread that runs through both halves is the one the course has followed since Lesson 1. Behaviour is produced by interacting levels; a program that acts at one level alone is working against a current; and the discipline of assessment, whether through Bronfenbrenner's rings, Flay's grid, a PRECEDE phase, or a risk domain, is what turns a theory of that current into a plan for changing it.
Key Takeaways from this lesson
- Single-level theories read like equations; multilevel theories read like branching paths with feedback, and the second form is closer to how contributing factors actually work together.
- Bronfenbrenner's five systems, with the participation test for mesosystem versus exosystem and the bioecological distinction between proximal and distal processes, remain the reference model for the ecological perspective in public health.
- The Theory of Triadic Influence organizes factors by three levels of causation and three streams of influence; the waterfall metaphor says to trace upstream and intervene where feasible, and proximal causes predict while distal and ultimate causes explain.
- Complexity is the shared critique of every multilevel theory, and the problem-specific models from the CDC, WHO, and UNICEF answer it by pairing single-level interventions with community and broader-level components.
- Picking your battles means rating factors on importance and changeability, then running assessment, intervention, and evaluation as one loop; PRECEDE's five assessments locate predisposing, enabling, and reinforcing factors, and PROCEED's process, outcome, and impact evaluations show whether they changed.
- The risk and protective factors model applies the same spine to youth risk behaviour with a theory built in, six risk domains, three protective domains, ready-made programs and instruments, and a growing emphasis on building protective factors and resilience.
Reflection
A regional health authority in British Columbia asks you to plan a program to reduce vaping among students in grades 8 to 10 in a district that spans a wealthy suburb, a resource town, and a low-income urban neighbourhood. Integrate the lesson: (1) using Bronfenbrenner or the Theory of Triadic Influence, identify one factor at each of three different levels or causal levels that differs across the three communities; (2) using importance and changeability, choose two factors to target and justify the choice; (3) name the PRECEDE phase in which you would have discovered each chosen factor and classify it as predisposing, enabling, or reinforcing; and (4) design a process measure, an outcome measure, and an impact measure for the program.
A strong answer starts with three factors at three levels. At the proximal or microsystem level: normative beliefs about how many peers vape, which differ by school. At the distal level or exosystem: retail access, since the resource town may have one convenience store beside the school while the urban neighbourhood has several, and the suburb's stores are farther from the school. At the ultimate level or macrosystem: price relative to disposable income, which the federal excise duty and provincial taxes set for everyone but which bites hardest in the low-income neighbourhood. The answer might also name a family factor in the social stream, such as an older sibling or parent who vapes, which is likelier in some communities than others.
For the choice, the answer rates each factor. Normative beliefs are important and highly changeable through school-based norms correction, so they land in the program-focus quadrant across all three communities. Retail access near schools is important and, for a health authority with municipal partners and provincial enforcement, moderately changeable, so it belongs in the program too, perhaps as an innovate-and-evaluate component. Price is important but not changeable by the health authority alone, so it becomes an advocacy item rather than a program component. Normative beliefs would be discovered in the phase 4 educational and ecological assessment and are predisposing factors; retail access would be discovered in the phase 3 behavioural and environmental assessment as an environmental risk factor and in phase 4 as an enabling factor. For evaluation: a process measure is the number of classrooms that received the norms-correction lessons and the share of stores near schools visited by enforcement; an outcome measure is the change, on the district's own student survey within two years, in the estimated proportion of peers who vape and in reported ease of buying products; an impact measure is the change in the prevalence of past-month vaping across the three communities over five years, ideally compared against districts without the program. The best answers note that the three communities may need different mixes of components, which is the reason every planning framework insists that assessment precede the choice of theory and program.
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Final Knowledge Assessment
This assessment covers all material from this lesson. You must score 100% to complete the lesson. Review the feedback for any incorrect answers and try again.
1. A grade 4 student's teacher and parents meet to plan support for the child's reading. In Bronfenbrenner's Ecological Systems Theory, this meeting is an example of which system?
2. Why is Bronfenbrenner's theory presented first among the multilevel theories in this lesson?
3. In the bioecological amendment, what is the difference between proximal and distal processes?
4. A small change in one component within one level of an ecological system is likely to cause reverberations through multiple levels, which in turn may change the environment the individual was interacting with in the first place. This observation supports which critique?
5. Which problem was the Theory of Triadic Influence designed to address?
6. A provincial ban on flavoured vaping products changes what convenience stores can sell near a school. In the Theory of Triadic Influence, at which causal level and in which stream does this factor sit?
7. In the Theory of Triadic Influence, related behaviours such as smoking and substance abuse have similar causes, while smoking and skiing have fewer causes in common. At which causal level are related behaviours most similar?
8. The CDC and WHO model of violence organizes contributing factors into four domains. Which list is correct?
9. Most planning frameworks combine three things. Which set is correct?
10. In PRECEDE-PROCEED, which phase asks the planner to go back one more causal level, beyond the behavioural and environmental risks, to the attitudes, beliefs, social norms, and community patterns that contribute to them?
11. In North Hill County, planners persuade local car dealers to lower interest rates on car loans for drivers with a DUI-free record and for documented designated drivers. In PRECEDE-PROCEED terms, this arrangement is best described as which of the following?
12. A planner rates icy, uncleared sidewalks as highly important to falls among older adults but, for a health unit acting alone, hard to change. The phase 5 assessment then identifies a seniors' centre willing to lobby council. According to the lesson, what does this partnership change?
13. A youth violence program reports, after six years, that police-reported violent incidents among adolescents in the target neighbourhoods have declined. In the PRECEDE-PROCEED terms used in this lesson, this is an example of which type of evaluation?
14. Under the Hawkins and Catalano model, which of the following is listed among the protective factor domains rather than the risk factor domains?
15. Not every youth exposed to risk factors becomes involved in risk behaviour, and many have protective factors that buffer the risks. What programming trend is linked to this observation?
✦ Complete the final reflection above before submitting